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Articles and Essays about International Affairs
by Luiz Medrado

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The Age of the Unanchored Central Banker - Book Summary
The Age of the Unanchored Central Banker — Inflation, Demographics, and the End of Cheap Everything Thirty Years of Taking Credit for the Wrong Thing A new book by economists Manoj Pradhan and Charles Goodhart called The Unanchored Central Banker makes an argument that should make central bankers uncomfortable. For three decades, they argue, central banks in the US and Europe were taking credit for a structural decline in global prices that had almost nothing to do with their
Luiz Medrado
há 5 horas


The Gap Between Markets and Reality
The Stock Market Thinks This War Is Over. The Oil Market Disagrees. There is something deeply strange happening in financial markets right now. The S&P 500 has climbed back past where it was before the fighting began in late February. Equity traders, sitting at comfortable desks in New York and London, have apparently decided that a war closing the world's most critical energy chokepoint is simply a buying opportunity. For weeks a bizarre cycle has been playing out. A ceasefi
Luiz Medrado
há 20 horas


How the Middle East War Became a Windfall for Russia
How the Middle East War Became a Windfall for Russia. Why Doubling the Oil Price More Than Doubles the Profit
When US and Israeli strikes on Iran sent global oil prices past $140 a barrel, that was obviously good news for Moscow. But the reason it was so significant goes beyond the simple fact that oil got more expensive.
Luiz Medrado
20 de abr.


The Oil Weapon That No Longer Strikes Fear
When U.S. bombs hit Iranian territory in a coordinated strike with Israel, analysts braced for a familiar domino effect: panic in the oil markets, prices spiking to triple digits, and headlines screaming of another global energy shock. But instead, the markets yawned. Prices barely budged. Within days, crude was back trading around $65 a barrel.
This wasn’t how the oil story was supposed to go.
Luiz Medrado
20 de jul. de 2025


Realist IPE and the Return of Economic Warfare: Why Liberal Trade Theory Is Dead
The liberal dream of economics constraining politics has been inverted. Instead of markets disciplining geopolitics, we now live in a world where geopolitics disciplines markets. Economic instruments have been absorbed into the logic of strategic competition, and there's no going back.
Luiz Medrado
9 de abr. de 2025


How the Russian Diaspora is used to Project Power: The Case of Latvia
The case of Latvia demonstrates that modern conflicts increasingly play out in the realm of identity and information rather than traditional military confrontation. As Russia continues to promote its vision of a transnational "Russian World," other countries with significant Russian-speaking populations will face similar challenges.
Luiz Medrado
12 de fev. de 2025


Russian Overheating
Recent data has come out regarding the Russian economy, its GDP growth has been surprising to many international observers, for many this...
Luiz Medrado
2 de set. de 2024


How to Interfere on an Election
The internet has transformed political discourse, particularly impactfull was Facebook on the 2016 U.S. elections. The proliferation of...
Luiz Medrado
6 de jun. de 2024
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